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RBI’s 2013-14 Macro Policy in Charts

In it’s macroeconomic policy for 2013-14, RBI has cut rates , the only BRIC country to do so. I’m going to do a big chart post with nearly all charts from the RBI site. Here you go. GDP Growth Slowing...

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Nifty in April Turns 2013 Around with a 4.4% Return

The Nifty was up 4.4% in a reversal month of April, 2013, bringing the Year-To-Date return up to a marginally positive number (0.4%). May has traditionally been a volatile month, skewed largely by the...

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Chart: The Rupee Goes Beyond Rs. 56 a Dollar

The USD-INR spot rate has just crossed a barrier – Rs. 56 to a dollar. This is the highest the dollar has been since July 2012 and just Rs. 1 short of the all time high. (Click for a larger picture) A...

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The May 31st fall drops Nifty Gains to 0.9%

The monthly Nifty move for May 2013 shows a headline gain of 0.94%, which masks the extreme volatility the month showed – the Nifty went all the way to nearly 6200 before retreating back to close at...

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Nifty Needs To Go Up 50% to Recover Inflation Adjusted High

If you look at the Nifty and it’s all time high of 6300, we are just 7% below it right now, around the 5900 levels. But if you adjust for WPI inflation – a component that is still substantially lower...

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Trade Deficit Explodes to $20 billion in May

India’s trade deficit rose to an alarming $20 billion in May 2013, with imports growing 7% while exports fell 1% year on year. The is the second worst monthly deficit ever, with the highest being...

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Ooh, I Spoke Too Soon on No Volatility in 2013

Remember when I said that there were no 2% days in 2013, and I was worried ? That was April 10,  we’re now just two months and 10 days ahead, and we’ve already had six 2% days since . What I said then...

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Nifty EPS Growth Drops Off A Cliff

Something’s been happening with the Nifty EPS (Earnings Per Share) growth. Earnings growth, for the Nifty, has fallen off a cliff in the last one month. From the 15% EPS growth (year on year) we saw...

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Nifty Does Badly, but China, Russia and Brazil are Worse Off in 2013

Nifty’s down 4% for the year (counting from the Dec 31, 2012 close of about 5900) and is among the worst performers of the year. Shanghai (China) and Hang Seng (Hong Kong) are worse, with Nikkei the...

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Nifty Recovers 4% in 2 days, closes June with –2.4%

A huge recovery on Thursday and Friday made the Nifty close just 2.4% below the May close, masking the crazy volatility in the month. The Nifty ended at 5842, with a 2.8% gain on the last trading day...

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Chart: Base Rates of Indian Banks Don’t Respond Quickly When RBI Cuts Rates

Since RBI introduced the base rate in 2010, Banks are not allowed to lend below that rate. Take a look at how banks have moved their rates in response to RBI rate hikes and cuts. Source: RBI Lending...

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Just Three Sectors Have Propped Up the Market in 2013

You don’t know how tough this market is until you’ve seen the carnage in the stuff that is not the Nifty. First,the broad Indexes this year: While the Nifty looks really good and just 2.5% off the...

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The Rajan Impact Continues on All Sectors

The Super-Awesome Raghuram Rajan effect on the market continues. Just kidding – he started what seems to be a pretty sharp move up – three trading days and 8% on the Nifty, probably the fastest ever!...

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Chart: Nifty Returns Till September, Over the Years

Upto September, the Nifty has returned -2.9%, staying a negative year again. How has 2013 been, though, compared to the others? A quick comparison of till-September returns shows that 2010 isn’t by...

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The Biggest Monthly Close Ever, The Largest Monthly Move In 20 months:...

We’re close to an all-time high on the Nifty, and today was the highest monthly closing value for the Index. In an astounding move, the month of October has seen the Nifty up nearly 10% to a...

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International Indexes in 2013; Nifty Still Ahead in BRIC

Check out Capital Mind Premium! Take a 30-day Free Trial. It’s been a while since I posted the International Index Comparison, so here goes. International indexes in November favour the developed...

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Monthly Nifty Move of -3.4% Worst In Six Months

The markets start the year badly as January brings with it a -3.4% return on the Nifty, the worst month since August 2013.   Yes, there was a run in the “ Fragile Five ” currencies, but the rupee only...

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Chart: Foreign Investors Buy 33,000 cr. in Jun Till Date

Foreign investors have pumped in a lot of money into Indian markets in the last few months. While we’ve had a flat market the last few days foreign institutions have poured in more than Rs. 33,000...

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Chart: Sensex Sees Longest Winning Streak Since 2007

June saw five continuous winning months for the Sensex, the longest winning streak since 2007. In terms of percentages, the Sensex has returned 24% in the five months. The biggest streak ever was in...

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Deposit Growth at Lowest in 10 Months

Bank Deposit Growth as of 27 Jun 2014 is now at the Lowest since September 2013 at 12.4% over the past year. In Sep 2013 and Dec 2012, we had a market crisis of sorts when the indexes fell … (Read...

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